Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.164628 0.185406 0.207212 0.231748 0.258533 0.286831 0.318931
2025-03-09 0.135728 0.163645 0.194483 0.230889 0.272500 0.318380 0.372592
2025-03-16 0.114164 0.146257 0.183340 0.228957 0.283141 0.345016 0.420567
2025-03-23 0.100954 0.136501 0.179230 0.233685 0.300501 0.379052 0.477565
2025-03-30 0.088114 0.125452 0.172043 0.233403 0.310956 0.404544 0.524735
2025-04-06 0.077527 0.115918 0.165533 0.232887 0.320335 0.428362 0.570041
2025-04-13 0.068644 0.107568 0.159570 0.232189 0.328835 0.450787 0.613774
2025-04-20 0.062213 0.101830 0.156400 0.234581 0.340954 0.477723 0.663555
2025-04-27 0.057952 0.098687 0.156361 0.240890 0.358154 0.511406 0.722617
2025-05-04 0.052761 0.093602 0.153082 0.242287 0.368467 0.536059 0.770292
2025-05-11 0.049085 0.090433 0.152223 0.246837 0.383011 0.566487 0.826097
2025-05-18 0.046457 0.088629 0.153157 0.253840 0.401023 0.601879 0.889191
2025-05-25 0.041607 0.082888 0.147912 0.251717 0.406335 0.620575 0.931014
2025-06-01 0.037817 0.078526 0.144442 0.251950 0.414891 0.643846 0.979544
2025-06-08 0.034083 0.073863 0.140110 0.250518 0.420781 0.663363 1.023190
2025-06-15 0.032071 0.072064 0.140255 0.255957 0.436946 0.697742 1.088243
2025-06-22 0.029237 0.068438 0.137070 0.255856 0.444602 0.719951 1.136472
2025-06-29 0.026629 0.064950 0.133834 0.255413 0.451572 0.741178 1.183599
2025-07-06 0.024239 0.061620 0.130602 0.254725 0.458001 0.761617 1.229864
2025-07-13 0.022557 0.059541 0.129421 0.257333 0.469595 0.789871 1.287919
2025-07-20 0.021593 0.058863 0.130711 0.264141 0.488013 0.828680 1.362083
2025-07-27 0.020006 0.056660 0.129010 0.265656 0.497866 0.854677 1.417770
2025-08-03 0.018962 0.055547 0.129269 0.270555 0.513304 0.889435 1.487013